📋 Table of Contents
ROI Formula for Crypto
Basic ROI is straightforward: ROI (%) = (Current Value − Initial Investment) ÷ Initial Investment × 100
If you invested $2,000 in Ethereum and it's now worth $6,500:
ROI = (6,500 − 2,000) ÷ 2,000 × 100 = 225%
Important: always include fees in your "initial investment" figure (exchange fees, transfer fees) and subtract any fees on the sale from "current value" to get a true picture.
CAGR: Comparing Across Timeframes
A 500% ROI over 5 years sounds amazing, but the same 500% over 1 year is extraordinary. CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) levels the playing field:
CAGR = (End Value / Start Value)^(1/Years) − 1
500% total return over 5 years: CAGR = (6/1)^(1/5) − 1 = 43% per year.
| Total ROI | Holding Period | Equivalent CAGR |
|---|---|---|
| 100% | 1 year | 100% |
| 100% | 3 years | 26% |
| 500% | 3 years | 82% |
| 500% | 5 years | 43% |
| 1,000% | 4 years | 99% |
| 10,000% | 5 years | 370% |
| −50% | 1 year | −50% |
| −80% | 2 years | −55%/yr |
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)
DCA means investing a fixed dollar amount at regular intervals (weekly, monthly) regardless of price. In volatile assets like crypto, this strategy has consistently outperformed lump-sum investing for most time periods — because you automatically buy more units when prices are low.
| Month | BTC Price | DCA Investment | BTC Purchased |
|---|---|---|---|
| Month 1 | $40,000 | $200 | 0.00500 |
| Month 2 | $30,000 | $200 | 0.00667 |
| Month 3 | $25,000 | $200 | 0.00800 |
| Month 4 | $35,000 | $200 | 0.00571 |
| Month 5 | $45,000 | $200 | 0.00444 |
| Month 6 | $50,000 | $200 | 0.00400 |
| Totals | Avg: $37,500 | $1,200 | 0.03382 |
Final value at $50,000: 0.03382 × $50,000 = $1,691 — a 41% return vs a lump-sum at $40,000 giving only 25% return over the same period.
The Impact of Fees
Exchange fees are often 0.1%–1.5% per trade. On an active basis, fees significantly erode returns:
| Trade Frequency | Fee per Trade | Annual Fees (on $10k) |
|---|---|---|
| Buy-and-hold (2 trades/yr) | 0.5% | ~$100 |
| Monthly rebalancing | 0.5% | ~$600 |
| Weekly trading | 0.5% | ~$2,600 |
| Daily trading | 0.1% | ~$3,600 |
This explains why long-term holders (HODLers) often outperform active traders — even when active traders call more market moves correctly, fees erase the edge.
Tax on Crypto Returns
In the US, cryptocurrency is taxed as property. This means:
- Short-term gains (held < 1 year): taxed at ordinary income rates (10–37%)
- Long-term gains (held > 1 year): taxed at 0%, 15%, or 20% depending on income
- Every trade is a taxable event — including crypto-to-crypto swaps
- Losses can offset gains — crypto tax loss harvesting is legitimate and can save thousands